Back in the early days of my Summoner Wars career, I posted a thread where I listed all of the odds for making standard 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 AV attacks:

http://www.plaidhatgames.com/sum_forums/showthread.php?1901-Never-Tell-Me-The-Odds-Summoner-Wars-Math-Made-Easy&p=78480#post78480

Forum user kaszkiet made an awesome reference card that you can print out at home with all of these percentages:

Never Tell Me the Odds Reference Card

 

 

If you'd like to print this, here it is in high resolution.  I've rescaled the front and back to be the same size as Summoner Wars cards (58mm x 88mm) if you print it at 300 DPI.

 

Never Tell Me the Odds Reference Card Front

Never Tell Me the Odds Reference Card

Update: Forum user Lets play a game has provided this chart with even more details:

Lots of Dice Probabilities

If you'd like to use a handy calculator for Units like Mook-backed Cave Goblins or Blagog, the following site found by Joepinion is also quite useful:

http://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx

Probability of success - Enter (as a decimal) the probability of getting a Hit on 1 die.  For example, hitting on a 3+ (normal AV) would give you .666667.  Hitting on a 6+ would give you .1666667.  Hitting a Mook-backed die (2+) would give you .833333333.

Number of trials - Enter how many dice you’re rolling

Number of successes (x) - Enter how many Hits you need

Outputs:

Binomial probability: P(X = x) - The probability of getting exactly how many hits you need

Cumulative probability: P(X < x) - The total probability of getting fewer Hits than you need (can be quite useful)

Cumulative probability: P(X < x) - The total probability of getting fewer or as many Hits as you need (not very useful)

Cumulative probability: P(X > x) - The total probability of getting more Hits than you need (not very useful)

Cumulative probability: P(X > x) - The total probability of getting as many or more Hits than you need (the most useful number, typically)

 


Comments


Divljan commented:

I do love the chart. This is a great tool. On the other hand, that "handy" calculator on the linked site seems to require some pretty advanced math skills. Even looking at the site made me feel stupid!

Posted on 2014-04-08.

tortugatron commented:

I like the Star Wars reference (hopefully that is what it is).

Posted on 2014-04-08.

thenobleknave commented:

@Divljan: The User Interface is pretty bad, I think it's way more intimidating than it needs to be. I've updated the News article with a guide on how to use the calculator.

@tort: Glad you got the reference :)

Posted on 2014-04-08.

champrjk commented:

My dice never listen.....

Posted on 2014-04-08.

Grognack96 commented:

My dice have serious problems lol

Posted on 2014-04-08.

thenightsshadow commented:

I use that calculator for other card games as a way to hone my thinking and numerical thinking. It really does wonders for both those other card games and Summoner Wars, since I also apply that calculator to drawing cards from the deck.

Posted on 2014-04-08.

stutzkraft commented:

Thanks for the resource!

Posted on 2014-04-09.

BuckWilde commented:

Both are great tools. Thanks for the heads up!

Posted on 2014-04-09.

thenobleknave commented:

Added Lets play a game's more thorough dice charts. I added the 6's, hence why the formatting is weird on that one.

EDIT: LPAG sent me an updated one with 6s, the formatting is hunky dory.

Posted on 2014-04-10.

-Sarge- commented:

That's so awesome! I was just about to search for a resource like this. Thanks!

Posted on 2014-04-15.

Boomer_Kable commented:

This is nice, although it does seem like my Orc Shaman hit a lot less than 44% of the time...haha.

Posted on 2014-04-16.

thenobleknave commented:

I should also mention the human phenomenon to more strongly remember your opponent's good rolls and your own bad ones than vice versa. Yay emotion-dependent memories!

Posted on 2014-04-17.

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